![]() ![]() 23 Appendix: Single Market Models: ARIMA.22.5 Time Series Econometrics Technical Details.22.1.2 When to Roll to the Next-to-Expire?.22.1.1 Trading Volume as Contract Maturity Approaches.22 Appendix: Forecasting with TS Models.20.4.2 Inventories of Crude, Gasoline, and Distillates.20.4.1 Production of Crude, Gasoline, and Distillates.20.2.2 Distillates: Diesel, Heating Oil, Jet Fuel, Kerosene.20.1.1 Light, Sweet: WTI and Brent Crude Oil.20.1 Light versus Heavy/Sweet versus Sour.19.8.2 Demise of the Frozen Pork Belly Futures Contracts.19.8.1 Why only one Contract Instead of Two like Feeder and Live Cattle?.18.1.1 Calandar of Production for the Cow-calf Producer.18 Cattle Markets and the Livestock Crush.17.7.1 Minimize the Variance of Cash Flow with Optimal Hedge Ratio for DDGs and Corn Futures.14.4 Price Sensitivity of Use Categories.13.4 Price Sensitivity of Use Categories.11.3.1 Some Examples of Recent Big Market Reactions.11.1 History - “The Great Data Leak of 1905”.10.2.1 The Marketing Year and Balance Sheet Forecasting Schedule.9.6.2 Bearish - think prices are going down.9.6.1 Bullish - think prices are going up.9.4 Forward Curve Cases with Hypothetical Data.8.3 Pre-Harvest Marketing Strategies Paired with Crop Insurance Protection.8.2 Overview of Typical Crop Insurance offerings.8.1 Brief History of Crop Insurance Prior Federal Farm Support Programs.8 Marketing, Hedging, and Crop Insurance.7.2 Farmer Hedging by Putting on a Fence.7.1 Farmer Hedging Price Risk on Production with a Put Option.6.7.2 Famous Blow-Ups in Delta-Hedging Operations.6.7.1 Why is delta-hedging not fool-proof?.6.6 Criticisms of the Black-Scholes Pricing Model.6.4 Option Prices Compared to the Profit Diagram.6.1.3 Option Pricing Formula for Futures Contracts.5.3 Profit and Loss Diagrams for Option Positions.5.2 What are the Obligations of Option Sellers?.4.2.5 How Crop Revanue Insurance Has Changed Commodity Marketing and Hedging Needs.4.2.4 Importance of Having a Line of Credit in Futures Hedging.4.2 Examples: Who Hedges and How Does a Futures Contract Facilitate a Hedge?.3.3.1 USDA Reports Influential in Commodity Markets.3.2.2 Futures Symbols and Looking up Data by Contract Expiration.2.2.2 Price Analysis versus Forecasting.2.2.1 Forecasting Commodity Prices in Business.2.0.1 Trasformation Over Space, Time, and Form.2 Commodity Price Analysis and Forecasting.1.5 Recent Trends in Acreage, Yield, Production, and Use.1.4.4 Protein Premiums and Wheat Spreads.1.3 Recent Trends in Acreage, Yield, Production, and Use.1.2.1 Recent Trends in Acreage, Yield, Production, and Use.1.1.1 Recent Trends in Acreage, Yields, Production, and Use. ![]()
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